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Country Reports

Chad Country Report

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Risk Level

Low
Moderate
Elevated
High
Very High
Severe
Extreme

Overview

Executive Summary

Libya-based insurgencies affecting northern Chad and Boko Haram jihadists operating around Lake Chad are unlikely to topple President Idriss Déby, but will hinder his attempts to diversify the country's oil-dependent economy – particularly commercial gold-mining operations in Tibesti, which are unlikely to materialise in the one-year outlook. A June 2019 meeting between Déby and Sudan's deputy military leader 'Hemeti', in which Déby probably agreed to restrain Darfur rebel groups, reduces the risk of interstate war or contagion in Chad resulting from the overthrow of former Sudanese president Omar al-Bashir. France is likely to assist militarily if Déby's position comes under serious threat. In February 2019 it deployed warplanes at Chad's request to help repulse insurgents who had penetrated 400km into Chad from southern Libya. President Déby's consolidation of power via a new constitution is unlikely to be politically threatened by opposition parties, which remain weak and divided. The ruling MPS will continue to dominate parliament after a third postponement of legislative elections in May 2019. Fiscal consolidation will keep domestic demand subdued in 2019 and the government will continue with tight fiscal policy in the near term. Progress with structural reforms – notably more-efficient public financial management, budget execution, and diversification efforts – will be crucial to improve the country's economic prospects, and serve as a key signpost for Chad's economy.Maturing oil production, alongside structural constraints and persistent domestic unrest, poses major downside risks to Chad's medium- and long-term economic prospects. Non-oil real GDP growth will not average more than 2.5–3.5% in the coming five years or longer. Such growth is unlikely to offset the expected decline in oil-sector output as existing fields mature and given the lack of new discoveries.
Last update: August 2, 2019

Operational Outlook

The commercial exploitation of gold in the Tibesti region is unlikely to start in 2019 due to insurgencies in northern Chad that the government is struggling to control. The new constitution extending the president’s authority is likely to create an unstable operational environment, already hampered by skilled labour shortages and strike action over pay and conditions. Corruption pervades public affairs and business. Infrastructure improvements have stalled because of funding shortages partly caused by low oil prices and increased defence expenditure. Most imports come from Douala seaport in Cameroon, often taking weeks to arrive.

Last update: June 29, 2019

Terrorism

Very high

The government is struggling to contain insurgencies in northern Chad by Libya-based militants, exacerbated by ethnic fighting in Tibesti region between artisanal goldminers, although rebellions are unlikely to spread countrywide. The redeployment of the bulk of troops to the north has left the Lake Chad area in the west susceptible to increasing Boko Haram terrorist attacks. This raises risks to the capital, N'Djamena, which was hit by its first-ever Boko Haram terrorist suicide attack in June 2015. French troops based in N'Djamena are likely to assist in responding to any terrorist attacks.

Last update: June 29, 2019

Crime

Crimes targeting expatriates in urban areas are not common and largely limited to petty theft, especially in downtown parts of the capital, N'Djamena, such as the Grande Marché and around the main mosque. Incidents of armed robbery occur in popular districts to the east and south of the city, while carjackings are likely on roads outside N'Djamena and Abéché, as well as in the north. Banditry is common particularly around border areas with Sudan, Libya, and Central African Republic.

Last update: June 29, 2019

War Risks

Chad's counter-terrorism co-operation with its neighbours reduces interstate war risks, although the ouster of Sudanese President Omar al-Bashir has made the border with Sudan more vulnerable to conflict spilling over from Darfur. Chadian troops are likely to pursue insurgents into Libya to counter Libya-based insurgencies in northern Chad. Pockets of inter-ethnic violence are likely, particularly in the east, but strong intervention by Chadian security forces, backed if necessary by French troops, would most likely thwart civil war attempts.

Last update: June 29, 2019

Social Stability

High

President Déby's consolidation of power following approval of the new constitution in April 2018, his appointment of close family members to key positions, and austerity measures increase the risk of strikes and protests throughout 2019. Demonstrations against delays in holding legislative elections, which were again postponed in May 2019, are also likely. However, protests will likely be unauthorised and swiftly, and probably violently, dispersed by security forces. Government opponents are arbitrarily arrested or jailed without charge and the government is likely to disrupt internet connections to stop protest communications.

Last update: June 29, 2019

Health Risk

Severe

Vaccines Required to Enter the Country

Yellow fever: A yellow fever vaccination certificate is required for travelers arriving from countries with risk of yellow fever transmission. A single dose of YF vaccine is sufficient to confer sustained life-long immunity against the disease; it should be taken ten days in advance to be fully effective.

Vaccines Recommended for All Travelers

Routine vaccinations: Consult your doctor to ensure all routine vaccinations - such as for diphtheria, tetanus, polio, tuberculosis, influenza, measles, mumps, pertussis, rubella, varicella, etc. - are up to date (include booster shots if necessary).

Vaccines Recommended for Most Travelers

Hepatitis A: The vaccine is given in two doses, six months apart, and is nearly 100 percent effective. The WHO recommends the vaccine be integrated into national routine immunization schedules for children aged one year or older.

Typhoid fever: The typhoid fever vaccine can be administered via injection (administered in one dose) or orally (four doses). The vaccine is only 50-80 percent effective, so travelers to areas with a risk of exposure to typhoid fever, a bacterial disease, should also take hygienic precautions (e.g. drink only bottled water, avoid undercooked foods, wash hands regularly, etc.). Children can be given the shot beginning at two years of age (six for the oral vaccine).

Malaria: There is currently no malaria vaccine. However, various antimalarial prophylactics are available by prescription and can reduce risk of infection by up to 90 percent. Different medications are prescribed depending on the risk level and the strains of the virus present in the destination. Antimalarial tablets need to be taken throughout the trip to be effective and may need to be taken for as long as four weeks following the trip.

Vaccines Recommended for Some Travelers

Cholera: A newly licensed cholera vaccine (Vaxchora) has just been made available and may be prescribed for adults traveling to areas with active cholera transmission. The vaccine prevents severe diarrhea caused by the most common type of cholera bacteria. As the vaccine is not fully effective, hygienic precautions should also be taken (e.g. drinking only bottled water, eating only thoroughly cooked foods, washing hands regularly, etc.).

Hepatitis B: The WHO recommends that all infants receive their first dose of vaccine as soon as possible after birth, preferably within 24 hours. The birth dose should be followed by two or three doses to complete the primary series. Routine booster doses are not routinely recommended for any age group.

Meningococcal meningitis: There are several types of meningococcal vaccines. None offer full immunity and some require periodic booster shots. Consult your doctor to determine which is best for you depending on medical history and travel plans.

Rabies: The rabies vaccination is typically only recommended for travel to remote areas and if the traveler will be at high risk of exposure (e.g. undertaking activities that will bring them into contact with dogs, cats, bats, or other mammals). The vaccination is administered in three doses over a three-to-four week period. Post exposure prophylaxis is also available and should be administered as soon as possible following contact with an animal suspected of being infected (e.g. bites and scratches).

Yellow fever: A yellow fever vaccination certificate is generally recommended for travelers to the areas south of the Sahara Desert.

Last update: April 5, 2019

Natural Risks

Very high

Flooding is common in many areas of the country, particularly in the south and the east, during the rainy season (July to October).

Last update: April 5, 2019

Transportation

High

Despite development efforts, the country suffers from inadequate and degraded road infrastructure - except in N'Djamena where roads are paved. During the rainy season (July to October), roads are generally unreliable, especially in the south.

In N'Djamena and throughout the country, it is advised to drive with doors locked and windows rolled up due to the carjacking risk.

Minimize travel by foot in the capital.

Security checkpoints are common, particularly around sensitive sites (e.g. the airport). Stop at all roadblocks erected by security forces and comply with demands. Note that vehicles with tinted windows are prohibited.

For all travel outside the capital, an authorization from the Ministry of the Interior is necessary. Furthermore, long-distance road travel can be extremely dangerous. Armed highway bandits are active and often violent. Deadly road accidents are common, in part due to the non-observance of traffic laws by other drivers, lack of public lighting, poorly-maintained vehicles, and the lack of medical care facilities. All night travel should be avoided. Furthermore, accidents, particularly fatal ones, can incite a violent reaction from locals.

Outside major cities, travel should be conducted with an all-terrain vehicle (4x4), preferably within a convoy, with adequate supplies of water, food, fuel, spare mechanic parts (tires, cables, etc.), and effective means of communication. Fuel is easy to come by in major cities but difficult elsewhere.

The north of the country in particular lacks decent road infrastructure, with some notable exceptions (e.g. the road linking the Libyan border with Ounianga Kebir and Faya-Largeau and the road linking N'Djamena with Faya-Largeau, Faya, and Abeche). Furthermore, minefields may be present in areas along the border with Libya. Finally, as noted above, the region is difficult to secure due to prevalent illegal trafficking in the area and regular jihadists incursions.

Last update: April 5, 2019

Infrastructure

Only 6.4 percent of the population has access to electricity. Even in N'Djamena, power cuts are common.

Means of communication remain unreliable nationwide, including in the capital, due to infrastructural deficiencies. In addition, authorities sometimes cut access to mobile and social networks (e.g. Facebook, Twitter).

Last update: April 5, 2019

Practical Information

Climate

The climate is arid in the north of the country, Sahelian in the center, and tropical in the south. In the north days are very hot and nights are cool and the area receives very little rainfall. In the center of the country, the rainy season lasts from March until October. In the south, the rainy season lasts from May until late September. During the dry season (December-April) temperatures are very high (particularly between mid-February and April); the air is dried out by the Harmattan, a hot and dry trade wind from the Sahara that passes over the country from north to south.

Useful Numbers

Country Code: +235

There are no emergency services in the country.

Electricity

Voltage: 220 V ~ 50 Hz

Outlets:

Last update: April 5, 2019