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Colombia Country Report

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Risk Level

Low
Moderate
Elevated
High
Very High
Severe
Extreme

Overview

Executive Summary

The Iván Duque administration must negotiate with independent and opposition parties to pass legislation. Duque’s governing coalition has 53 of 108 seats in the Senate, and also lacks a majority in the lower house with 83 of 172 seats. This will drive policy uncertainty in 2019 as the government is forced to compromise its policy preferences. A fiscal law that will reduce corporate tax is likely to pass in time to be applied in January 2019. The legislation would gradually reduce corporation tax from 33% to 30% by 2022. It will also encourage new domestic and foreign investment in the technology, agriculture, and tourism sectors, which will then be able to benefit from corporate tax breaks ranging from 5 to 20 years depending on their contribution to employment and geographical location. The Colombian economy is forecast to grow 2.6% in 2019, supported by higher oil prices, stronger consumption, and decelerating inflation. In the next decade, ageing oil reserves and a lack of new discoveries will drive the need for economic diversification as revenues from that sector decrease. This is likely to encourage successive governments to adopt policies that promote non-hydrocarbon investment. Security improvements resulting from the peace agreement signed between the government and the Revolutionary Armed Forces of Colombia (FARC) in 2016 are stalling, with homicide rates and terrorist attacks on strategic infrastructure and state security forces increasing compared with 2016 and 2017. Mining, energy, hydrocarbon, and infrastructure projects will face a high risk of assault or improvised explosive device attacks in Arauca, Norte de Santander, Nariño, and Antioquia. The number of FARC dissidents is growing due to uncertainty around the peace accords and peace talks with the National Liberation Army (ELN) are indefinitely suspended and unlikely to be resumed and concluded in 2019. © 2018, IHS Markit Inc. All rights reserved. Reproduction in whole or in part without permission is prohibited.
Last update: November 21, 2018

Operational Outlook

Unions outside the public sector will continue to strengthen in 2019. With risks of strikes in the cargo, aviation, and oil sectors, unions can cause significant business disruption through work stoppages, road blocks, and site blockages. Corruption affects all levels of government, with charges regularly brought against politicians and civil servants at the local and national level and companies regularly investigated for paying bribes. President Iván Duque has sought to advance anti-corruption reforms following a referendum in August 2018, but failure to achieve a quorum in the vote has meant that legislative progress of these measures has proved slower than anticipated.

Last update: November 20, 2018

Terrorism

Very high

A peace agreement between the government and Fuerzas Armadas Revolucionarias de Colombia (FARC) has reduced the risk of terrorism from this group, which has largely demobilised and disarmed. However, FARC dissidence is growing and confidence in the peace process has diminished following the inauguration of President Iván Duque in August 2018. He has been critical of the peace process and suggested several amendments.

Peace talks with the Ejército de Liberación Nacional (ELN) began in early 2017, but have been suspended by Duque. The group continues to target state security forces and hydrocarbon assets in Antioquia, Arauca, Atlántico, Bolívar, Chocó, Nariño, and Norte de Santander.

Last update: November 20, 2018

War Risks

There is a residual risk of accidental infractions in a disputed maritime zone with Nicaragua following a 2012 ruling by the International Court of Justice that granted previously Colombian-held maritime territory to Nicaragua. Relations with bordering Venezuela are strained by large flows of Venezuelan refugees into Colombia and the presence of ELN insurgents in Venezuela. Relations are deteriorating under President Iván Duque, who refers to his Venezuelan counterpart as a “dictator” and has adopted an “open doors” policy to Venezuelan migrants. Despite this, and the occasional border incursions by Venezuelan troops, armed confrontations between the two countries remain unlikely.

Last update: November 20, 2018

Social Stability

Elevated

Protests are likely to increase in frequency and sophistication during 2019 particularly against oil and mining projects. Demands for employment in the oil sector are likely to lead to operational disruption and site blockades particularly in Meta and Santander. Meanwhile, the reduction in the powers of local authorities to legally block extractive projects, following an October 2018 court ruling, is also likely to result in increased protest activities near proposed developments. Protests by students and teachers from the public education system are also likely to continue, with risk of periodic unrest and incidents of violence.

Last update: November 20, 2018

Health Risk

Severe

Vaccines Required to Enter the Country

Yellow fever: A yellow fever vaccination certificate is required for travelers arriving from countries with risk of yellow fever transmission. A single dose of YF vaccine is sufficient to confer sustained life-long immunity against the disease; it should be taken ten days in advance to be fully effective.

Vaccines Recommended for All Travelers

Routine vaccinations: Consult your doctor to ensure all routine vaccinations - such as for diphtheria, tetanus, polio, tuberculosis, influenza, measles, mumps, pertussis, rubella, varicella, etc. - are up to date (include booster shots if necessary).

Vaccines Recommended for Most Travelers

Hepatitis A: The vaccine is given in two doses, six months apart, and is nearly 100 percent effective. The WHO recommends the vaccine be integrated into national routine immunization schedules for children aged one year or older.

Typhoid fever: The typhoid fever vaccine can be administered via injection (administered in one dose) or orally (four doses). The vaccine is only 50-80 percent effective, so travelers to areas with a risk of exposure to typhoid fever, a bacterial disease, should also take hygienic precautions (e.g. drink only bottled water, avoid undercooked foods, wash hands regularly, etc.). Children can be given the shot beginning at two years of age (six for the oral vaccine).

Vaccines Recommended for Some Travelers

Hepatitis B: The WHO recommends that all infants receive their first dose of vaccine as soon as possible after birth, preferably within 24 hours. The birth dose should be followed by two or three doses to complete the primary series. Routine booster doses are not routinely recommended for any age group.

Malaria: There is currently no malaria vaccine. However, various antimalarial prophylactics are available by prescription and can reduce risk of infection by up to 90 percent. Different medications are prescribed depending on the risk level and the strains of the virus present in the destination. Antimalarial tablets need to be taken throughout the trip to be effective and may need to be taken for as long as four weeks following the trip.

Rabies: The rabies vaccination is typically only recommended for travel to remote areas and if the traveler will be at high risk of exposure (e.g. undertaking activities that will bring them into contact with dogs, cats, bats, or other mammals). The vaccination is administered in three doses over a three-to-four week period. Post exposure prophylaxis is also available and should be administered as soon as possible following contact with an animal suspected of being infected (e.g. bites and scratches).

Yellow fever: A yellow fever vaccination certificate is generally recommended for travel to areas OUTSIDE the following regions: the cities of Bogotá, Barranquilla, Cali, Cartagena, and Medellín; areas over 2300 m (7500 ft) in elevation; the department of San Andrès y Providencia.

Last update: October 26, 2018

Natural Risks

Severe

Torrential rains and subsequent floods and landslides are common, often leading to casualties and blocked roads. This is especially true during the rainy seasons, which typically occur in April-May and October-November.

Weeks of torrential rain in the first half of 2017, the worst seen in the country in the past six years, resulted in major destruction in large areas of the country, notably the April 1 landslide that devastated Mocoa, the capital of Putumayo department, resulting in some 300 deaths. Flooding and landslides washed away or blocked many roads and bridges and resulted in regular power and water outages. 

From June until the end of November, the northern Caribbean coast is regularly affected by tropical storms. While direct hits by hurricanes and tropical storms are relatively rare, storm systems can bring torrential rain, wind, and associated flooding and material damage to the country.

Wildfires are common, particularly during periods of drought and high temperatures.

Colombia is located in an active seismic and volcanic zone. Volcanic activity in Colombia is monitored by Ingeominas, the Colombian geological service. 

Last update: February 13, 2018

Transportation

Elevated

Security conditions on highways and other roadways vary considerably by area due to the presence of criminal groups. The US Embassy prohibits employees from traveling by road outside cities after nightfall (including main highways linking Bogotá with Bucaramanga and Ibague), as well as all travel on municipal or long-distance buses.

Do not flag down taxis on the street; taxis should be called via phone or web app or taken from a taxi stand. Airports, hotels, and some restaurants/shopping centers have taxi stands or will call taxis for customers. Travelers should note that while Uber has been banned in Colombia, the application is still active. Uber users could be fined and attacks against Uber vehicles by taxi drivers have occurred.

Traffic in Bogotá is exceptionally congested, creating opportunities for criminals to rob vehicles. Drivers and passengers should always be aware of their surroundings and keep doors locked, windows rolled up, and all valuables out of plain sight.

Due to poor security conditions on some roads and the presence of armed groups in many rural areas, it is highly advisable to use air travel for all long-distance trips.

Roads, including main highways, are regularly rendered impassable by flooding and landslides (see NATURAL RISKS section).

Last update: February 13, 2018

Practical Information

Climate

Temperatures in Colombia, located along to the equator, remain steady throughout the year. The dry and rainy seasons vary by region but generally rain is most common in April and May and again in October and November. Colombia's climate is tropical and humid along the Caribbean coast and in the Amazonian regions yet arid in the Guajira desert. All zones located above an elevation of 3000 meter have a generally cold climate.

Useful Numbers

Country Code: +57
Police: 112
Fire Dept.: 112
Medical Emergencies: 123

Electricity

Voltage: 110 V ~ 60 Hz

Outlets:

Last update: January 2, 2014