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Country Reports

Malawi Country Report

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Risk Level

Low
Moderate
Elevated
High
Very High
Severe
Extreme

Overview

Executive Summary

Peter Mutharika won the presidential election which was held on 21 May 2019, although opposition parties contest the outcome. Popular protests have been staged in the capital, Lilongwe, located in Central region, the opposition MCP's stronghold. The use live ammunition was reported in June but has not been widely used to quell protests; tear gas has been more widely used. Large protests will probably resume if the Constitutional Court upholds the election result, if not, then protests are likely to subside in Lilongwe but become increasingly likely in Blantyre, among Mutharika's key support bases.Retaining the support of the Malawi Defence Force (MDF) is vital to President Mutharika cementing his position and containing ongoing protests in Lilongwe. Since June 2019, Mutharika's relations with the military have been tense over non-payment of peacekeeping missions. In June, Mutharika appointed Lieutenant-General Vincent Nundwe commander of the MDF to appease junior officers who had asked for his predecessor's dismissal. In the unlikely event that Nundwe ceased to support the president and contain ongoing protests, Mutharika's forced, but non-violent removal would become increasingly likely.President Mutharika gave assent to a new Mines and Minerals Act in February 2019. This will regulate illegal artisanal and small-scale mining and promote the local supply of equipment and investment to the sector. The outdated Petroleum Act 1983 is likely to be reviewed within the one-year outlook to facilitate further commercial interest in Malawi's nascent oil and gas sector.Malawi's economy is heavily dependent on the agricultural sector's performance. IHS Markit forecasts GDP growth of 4.2% and 5.0% in 2019 and 2020 respectively.
Last update: September 24, 2019

Operational Outlook

Malawi has made recent advances in regulations easing starting a business, but investors face other obstacles. Corruption, including requests for bribes, is a notable risk. Strikes and labour-related protests will most certainly escalate among civil servants. Operational obstacles for businesses also lie in Malawi's poor basic infrastructure: the country is landlocked and high transport costs are exacerbated by poor roads. The labour market is poorly developed, with skilled labour being limited. The legal system is often subject to delay through budgetary shortfalls.

Last update: September 28, 2019

Terrorism

Moderate

No major non-state armed groups are active in Malawi, with the terrorism threat being minimal. A de-escalation in fighting between government forces and Mozambican National Resistance (Resistência Nacional Moçambicana: RENAMO) militants in neighbouring Mozambique has led most Mozambican refugees to leave Malawi and return home. In March 2016, UN refugee agency UNHCR indicated that refugee numbers in Malawi had climbed to around 11,500, with most arriving in Kapise, some 5 km from the joint border.

Last update: September 28, 2019

Crime

Crime levels are moderate and increasing in urban areas, but low in rural areas. This includes petty theft, as well as burglary, in urban areas, including in Lilongwe and Blantyre. Armed vehicle theft and carjacking is becoming more frequent. Businesses, especially Asian owned, have been targeted by armed robbers and other criminals. In July 2013, the Chinese embassy called on the Malawian government to address rising crime. A number of police officers have been accused of involvement in crimes such as armed robberies, including at banks. Malawi has also experienced increased incidents of mob justice; poor police work has reportedly contributed to declining public confidence in the security forces.

Last update: September 28, 2019

War Risks

War risk is low despite an ongoing border dispute with Tanzania. A previously dormant border row between Malawi and Tanzania over Lake Malawi (also known as Lake Nyasa) was reignited in 2011 when Malawi began issuing licences for oil and gas exploration in a disputed portion of the lake. Military conflict is unlikely, with diplomatic avenues and regional mediation being pursued. Malawi is likely to seek a ruling from the International Court of Justice if Tanzania challenges the jurisdiction of oil blocks 35N and 35S issued by Malawi.

Last update: September 28, 2019

Social Stability

High

Ongoing popular protests began in June 2019 following the May presidential election. They will likely be particularly well-attended after a court ruling which will either validate or invalidate the election result. Protests caused by power blackouts are also likely, resulting in the blocking of major roads and damage to vehicles, including from stone throwing. Civil society and religious movements have significant leverage in mobilising for mass protests. However, the risk of widespread damage to property because of protests is moderate because mass demonstrations are well controlled and, if necessary, repressed violently.

Last update: September 28, 2019

Health Risk

Severe

Vaccinations required to enter the country

Proof of vaccination against yellow fever is required for travelers over one year of age arriving from or having passed through countries with risk of yellow fever (YFV) transmission and for travelers who have been in transit >12 hours in an airport located in a country with risk of YFV transmission.

Routine Vaccinations

Hepatitis A: A vaccine is available for anyone over one year of age. The vaccine may not be effective for certain people, e.g. those born before 1945 and who lived as a child in a developing country and/or have a past history of jaundice (icterus). These people can instead get a shot of immune globulin (IG) to boost their immunity against the disease.

Hepatitis B: A vaccine is available for children at least two months old.

Diphtheria-Tetanus-Polio: A booster shot should be administered if necessary (once every ten years).

Other Vaccinations

Typhoid Fever: If your travels take you to regions with poor sanitary conditions (for children two years old and up).

Rabies: For prolonged stays in an isolated region (for children from when they can walk).

Malaria: Recommended preventive medication - mefloquine (sometimes marketed as Lariam) or doxycycline (sometimes marketed as Vibramycin).

For Children: All standard childhood immunizations should be up-to-date. In the case of a long stay, the BCG vaccine is recommended for children over one month and the MMR (measles-mumps-rubella) vaccine for children over nine months.

Last update: April 5, 2019

Natural Risks

Very high

There is a risk of earthquakes in Malawi; in 2009, a series of quakes hit the areas around Karonga, northern Malawi, with some registering 6.2-magnitude, resulting in a number of fatalities and damage to infrastructure.

The country also experiences severe flooding during the rainy season (November to April). In January 2015, deadly flooding killed 200 and directly impacted 100,000 others. It is imperative to research road and weather conditions before traveling by car during the rainy season.

Last update: April 5, 2019

Transportation

Moderate

Roads tend to be in poor condition, which, in combination with other factors (e.g. the presence of animals and people on the sides of roads, vehicles traveling after dark without lights), makes for dangerous driving conditions. Road conditions are particularly poor during the country's rainy season, resulting in washouts and potholes. Malawi has one of the highest rates of road accidents on the African continent. Avoid driving after dark.

Travel by public transport is not recommended. Public transport is extremely limited and consists primarily of unregulated private mini-buses and pick-up trucks used to travel between towns, which are overburdened and dangerous. Larger coach services between major towns are safer and more reliable. Bicycle taxis and small motorized tricycles used as public transport in urban areas are also unsafe. Emergency services are limited.

Last update: April 5, 2019

Infrastructure

It should also be noted that there is very limited tourist infrastructure outside of large urban centers. Even main urban areas may face shortages in power and electricity.

Last update: April 5, 2019

Practical Information

Climate

Malawi's climate is tropical and the country experiences two seasons: the dry season (May to October) and the rainy season (November to April).

Heavy rains are common throughout the country, particularly in plateau regions and the northwest. Temperatures are often high in valleys and cooler at higher elevations.

Useful Numbers

Country Code: +265
Police: 997
Fire Dept.: 999
Ambulance: 998

Electricity

Voltage: 230 V ~ 50 Hz

Outlets:

Last update: April 5, 2019