Country Reports

Myanmar Country Report

Content provided by
IHS Markit Logo

Risk Level

Very High


Executive Summary

Although Myanmar has reported fewer positive cases of coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) compared with neighbouring India and China, this is probably due to very limited testing. Its response – including a ban on all international commercial arrivals – indicate that the government anticipates a broader outbreak.Myanmar’s parliamentary elections are scheduled for 8 November 2020 and State Counsellor Aung San Suu Kyi has announced her re-election bid. Her domestic position however has been weakened by the failure to conclude a peace process with multiple insurgent groups and limited progress on reforms to help Myanmar’s economy. Some voters – especially ethnic minorities and groups experiencing unemployment – are now more likely to support alternatives to her party. Multiple announcements regarding party participation increase the likelihood of more divided voter support – and thereby of allegations of electoral malpractice by parties challenging electoral legitimacy.We anticipate Myanmar’s economy to follow the trend of weakening global growth with an expansion of 6.5% in 2020. Risks to the outlook are skewed on the downside owing to potential supply and demand disruptions associated with the COVID-19 virus outbreak. In terms of key drivers, solid industry growth (especially in garment manufacturing) will provide the biggest support.In Rakhine, Shan, and Kachin states, ethnic minorities continue armed insurgencies for territorial control. These involve artillery and small-arms fire, with the military occasionally conducting airstrikes involving jet aircraft and helicopter gunship fire, often displacing thousands of people. These conflicts are likely to remain intensified, posing disruption risks to road cargo transport and infrastructure development in the affected states – particularly targeting the mainland China-Myanmar Economic Corridor and India-backed multimodal transport projects – as well as kidnapping of local populations and military personnel.
Last update: August 12, 2020

Operational Outlook

After Canada, the European Union, and Norway lifted all sanctions except arms embargoes on Myanmar in April 2012, the United States followed suit in October 2016. Opposition to controversial infrastructure projects that pose environmental concerns has become better publicised, increasing reputational risks for foreign firms associated with those projects. International condemnation of alleged violence by Myanmar's military against ethnic minorities, and the ongoing insurgency in several states significantly increases reputational risk for foreign firms. There are two to three industrial-action incidents per month over wages or working conditions. Corruption is also a problem, and businesses are expected to pay bribes to secure deals or permits.

Last update: August 22, 2020



Anti-terrorism operations target ethnic militant groups but also displace thousands of civilians, mainly in Kachin, Rakhine, and Shan states. Intelligence-sharing with Bangladesh and fellow ASEAN members is extensive, reducing the risk of a successful large-scale Islamist terrorist attack. Such an attack would probably target government buildings, security forces, prominent Buddhist nationalist figures, or a Buddhist religious site in Mandalay or Yangon. Since 2016 the incidence of improvised explosive device (IED) attacks has reduced, but this is likely to increase in the run-up to the fourth- quarter 2020 parliamentary elections as militant groups perceive the government to have failed at reining in the military.

Last update: September 10, 2019


Armed robberies are rare in the urban centres of Yangon and Mandalay, although the risk increases substantially in more remote areas. Drug-related criminality remains a major concern; Myanmar is the second‐largest producer of opium worldwide after Afghanistan and a major source of methamphetamine. Human-trafficking, including sex-trafficking, remains an ongoing problem. With Myanmar's security and law enforcement officials susceptible to corruption, it is unlikely that levels of criminal activity will reduce in the next year or so.

Last update: October 19, 2019

War Risks

Informal talks between the government and rebel groups offer a potential pathway towards a resolution, but the largest militant groups did not sign the Nationwide Ceasefire Agreement in October 2015. The Panglong peace process, begun in September 2016, is likely to make limited progress on key issues in the one-year outlook; talks have been delayed into 2019. Regular attacks and military operations involving artillery and small‐arms fire are likely to continue, particularly in Kachin and northern Shan states. Infrastructure projects are not directly targeted but are likely to be disrupted by nearby fighting. Stray bullets and artillery rounds also pose a risk of collateral injury.

Last update: September 6, 2019

Social Stability


Frequent protests are likely against hydropower, mining, special economic zones, and other infrastructure projects where compensation and land rights are disputed, or where projects pose risks to the environment. Such protests range from the relatively peaceful to belligerent demonstrations, involving fighting with security personnel. These protests are likely to disrupt operations, and in the case of particularly controversial projects such as the Myitsone dam or Letpadaung mine are likely to cause project suspensions. Labour unions were legalised in 2011, and industrial action over wages is probable if wage negotiations become intractable.

Last update: September 7, 2019

Health Risk


Vaccinations required to enter the country

Proof of vaccination against yellow fever is required for travelers over one year of age arriving from a country with risk of yellow fever (YFV) transmission and for travelers who have been in transit for >12 hours in an airport located in a country with risk of YFV transmission. Proof of vaccination is required for nationals and residents of Myanmar.

Routine Vaccinations

Hepatitis A: A vaccine is available for anyone over one year of age. The vaccine may not be effective for certain people, e.g. those born before 1945 and who lived as a child in a developing country and/or have a past history of jaundice (icterus). These people can instead get a shot of immune globulin (IG) to boost their immunity against the disease.

Hepatitis B: A vaccine is available for children at least two months old.

Diphtheria-Tetanus-Polio: A booster shot should be administered if necessary (once every ten years).

Other Vaccinations

Typhoid Fever: If your travels take you to regions with poor sanitary conditions (for children two years old and up).

Rabies: For prolonged stays in an isolated region (for children from when they can walk).

Japanese Encephalitis: For stays of longer than one month in a rural zone during the rainy season (for children over the age of one). The vaccine is administered in a local medical facility.

Malaria: Recommended preventive medication - mefloquine (sometimes marketed as Lariam) or doxycycline (sometimes marketed as Vibramycin).

For Children: All standard childhood immunizations should be up-to-date. In the case of a long stay, the BCG vaccine is recommended for children over one month and the MMR (measles-mumps-rubella) vaccine for children over nine months.

Last update: April 5, 2019

Natural Risks


The country is also at risk for natural disasters; Cyclone Nargis devastated the south (Irrawaddy Delta area) in May 2008, leaving 140,000 dead and affecting 2.4 million residents. In September 2014, the Irrawaddy River burst its banks and flooded the central Bagan area, the country's main tourist destination. Finally, in early August 2015, a quarter million Burmese were impacted by monsoon floods, especially in the Rakhine, Chin, Sagaing, and Magway regions, all of which were placed under a "natural catastrophe" alert.

Last update: April 5, 2019



Finally, visitors should avoid taking public transportation, whether by ground (bus), rail, ferry, or air, due to a lack of safety regulations (ferries sink relatively often).

Last update: April 5, 2019

Practical Information


The dry season extends from October until March during which days are sunny and pleasant. The hot season, from April to June, is marked by very high temperatures, particularly inland. The monsoon is a fixture in the Rangoon region between June and October; the center of the country receives slightly less rainfall during this period.

Useful Numbers

Country Code: +95
Police: 199
Fire Dept.: 191


Voltage: 230 V ~ 50 Hz


Last update: April 5, 2019