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Poland Country Report

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Risk Level

Low
Moderate
Elevated
High
Very High
Severe
Extreme

Overview

Executive Summary

In response to the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) virus outbreak, Prime Minister Mateusz Morawiecki announced a EUR47-billion stimulus package to support the economy. The proposal included measures aimed at protecting affected employees, including the deferment of social insurance contributions, loan guarantees, debt repayment holidays, as well as enterprise financing.A high level of red tape, overburdened courts, fiscal risks associated with extended welfare spending, and the government's erratic policy-making present the biggest risks to doing business in Poland. The PiS resumed its contested judicial overhaul, passing through parliament a contested bill allowing judges criticising the government’s reforms to be disciplined. The bill will likely extend Poland’s standoff with the EU on the rule of law and worsen the backlog of cases owing to the probable contestation of rulings issued by judges appointed under new rules. Rising fears about the spread of the COVID-19 virus have triggered a dramatic cut in our 2020 growth projection. In March, we slashed our prognosis to 1.3% from 4.1% in 2019. Growth will be affected by external weakness and domestic social distancing measures.Household consumption, which was a driving force of recent domestic demand, will suffer in 2020. In terms of external risks, Poland is less open than other Central European countries, but services have been rising in importance.After showing surprising strength in 2019, industrial production growth is projected to decelerate in 2020 as the external malaise and supply chain challenges hit Poland.
Last update: March 24, 2020

Operational Outlook

Despite an overall positive attitude towards FDI, the PiS-led government argues that Poland needs a more selective attraction policy. Therefore, investment incentives are likely to be directed towards high-tech companies that may create stable and well-paid employment. Improving the infrastructure will remain a key challenge, mainly in light of the country’s still untapped investment potential. The government is also planning to enhance the role of trade unions, although the risk of strikes has increased slightly due to growing demands for higher wages. The crackdown on corruption that mainly affects courts, public tenders, land restitution, and licensing procedures also stays firmly on the PiS agenda.

Last update: March 4, 2020

Terrorism

Moderate

Poland co-operates closely with the US and has in recent years increased its international profile, which makes it a probable target for the Islamic militants. The overall threat is likely to remain moderate in the one-year outlook. In the case of an attack, the most probable targets would include US and UK embassies in Warsaw, shopping malls, and public places frequented by tourists, especially in large cities. A different danger comes from the existence of Polish right-wing extremists, although most of their activity takes place on the internet.

Last update: March 4, 2020

Crime

Overall, the number of reported crimes has been decreasing in recent years. Poland has a low rate of violent crime compared with other European countries, but the number of financial- and corruption-related crime cases has been rising, partially because of more effective enforcement. The incidence of street crime and pickpocketing, which sometimes involves violence, is likely to remain elevated. Warsaw, Kraków, Gdynia, Sopot, and Gdańsk have a high incidence of mugging. Car theft is commonplace and residential break-ins are on the increase.

Last update: March 4, 2020

War Risks

The risk of inter-state war with Poland's neighbours is elevated. Poland generally maintains positive bilateral relations, although tensions have flared up on several occasions between Poland and Russia. The latest issues included Poland's participation in a NATO missile defence system and its plans to build a USD260-million military storage facility at the Powidz Air Base, as well as the Russia-Ukraine conflict, with Poland being a strong supporter of tougher sanctions against Russia. These disputes are likely to remain at a political/diplomatic level, with military conflict unlikely. Risk of civil war in Poland is very low and there are no significant domestic separatist movements.

Last update: March 4, 2020

Social Stability

Elevated

Protest and riot risks stem primarily from far-right groups and football hooligans who tend to participate in large, but otherwise peaceful, rallies that mark national anniversaries. Nationalist demonstrations and marches leading to minor injury and collateral property damage are likely to be concentrated in urban centres, particularly Warsaw and Wroclaw. The 2011–14 Independence Day marches in Warsaw all ended in riots. In 2018, 200,000 people participated, some of them carrying racist banners and throwing red-smoke bombs. In 2019, around 150,000 people joined the Warsaw march, while in Wrocław the police detained 14 individuals after five people were wounded during confrontations.

Last update: March 4, 2020

Health Risk

Very high

Vaccinations required to enter the country

No vaccinations are required to enter the country.

Routine Vaccinations

Hepatitis A: A vaccine is available for anyone over one year of age. The vaccine may not be effective for certain people, e.g. those born before 1945 and who lived as a child in a developing country and/or have a past history of jaundice (icterus). These people can instead get a shot of immune globulin (IG) to boost their immunity against the disease.

Hepatitis B: A vaccine is available for children at least two months old.

Diphtheria-Tetanus-Polio: A booster shot should be administered if necessary (once every ten years).

Other Vaccinations

Rabies: For prolonged stays in an isolated region (for children from when they can walk).

Tick-Borne Encephalitis: For stays in rural zones and for hiking enthusiasts (for children over the age of one).

For Children: All standard childhood immunizations should be up-to-date. In the case of a long stay, the BCG vaccine is recommended for children over one month and the MMR (measles-mumps-rubella) vaccine for children over nine months.

Last update: April 5, 2019

Natural Risks

Elevated
Last update: April 5, 2019

Transportation

Moderate

The poor state of some roads, in combination with the often-risky driving habits of locals and an abundance of tractor-trailers, often leads to serious road accidents; 3026 people died from such incidents in 2016. Drivers are urged to remain vigilant; it may be preferable to travel by train in winter months due to hazardous road conditions caused by ice and snow.

Visitors are also advised to take only officially-sanctioned taxis with a company name and/or telephone number printed on the light bar. Public transportation is generally reliable and safe. Individuals must have a valid ticket before boarding a bus or a train.

Last update: April 5, 2019

Practical Information

Climate

Polish winters (December to February) are very cold (-5°C to -15°C) and snowy. Springs are mild and sunny with nighttime frost until mid-May. Summers are mild any rainy and thunderstorms are common in July. Autumn (September to October) is dry and sunny.

Useful Numbers

Country Code: 48
Police: 997 or 112
Fire Dept.: 998
Ambulance: 999

Electricity

Voltage: 230 V ~ 50 Hz

Outlets:

Last update: April 5, 2019