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Country Reports

Zambia Country Report

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Risk Level

Low
Moderate
Elevated
High
Very High
Severe
Extreme

Overview

Executive Summary

Confrontations between the Patriotic Front (PF)-led government and the main opposition United Party for National Development (UPND) since 2016 have tested Zambia's stability following the return to multiparty politics in the 1990s.Zambia's Constitutional Court ruling in December 2018 that President Edgar Lungu can contest the 2021 elections to seek a third term as president is highly likely to strengthen his prospects of remaining the PF's prime presidential election candidate.There is an increasing divide in the ruling PF administration over allegations of poor economic management and widespread corruption. In September 2018, Lungu dismissed community development minister Emerine Kabanshi over her reported links to a USD4.7-million social cash transfer scandal.Increasing minerals royalties from 5.5–10% compared to 4–6% under 2016 provisions indicate government focus on natural resource sector to boost fiscal revenues; the PF government is likely to aggressively target foreign mining operators with tax audits and increases.The recent Zambian mining tax dispute indicates plans to improve fiscal revenues amid deteriorating public finances from rising domestic and external debt obligations, including maturing Eurobonds and Chinese loans. Although threats of mining sector licence revocations have become part of PF’s political rhetoric, the government is unlikely to proceed with nationalisation given potentially lengthy arbitration proceedings and the sector's importance as the largest source of foreign exchange, accounting for 70% of Zambia's exports.Discussions with the International Monetary Fund (IMF) for a USD1.3-billion bailout will likely continue to be stalled amid rising external debt concerns. Discussions on the bail-out package have stalled over uncertainties over the actual size of Zambia's external liabilities and government unwillingness to commit to IMF-specified targets.IHS Markit expects Zambia's GDP growth rate to average 3.3% in 2019, from an estimated 3.0% in 2018. Low growth rates for the agricultural, mining, and retail trade sectors underline IHS Markit's overall GDP expectation for 2019.
Last update: June 7, 2019

Operational Outlook

Electricity shortages, aggravated by drought and rainfall patterns, continue to exacerbate operational challenges for companies operating in Zambia. Industrial action from violent strikes and protests resulting from demands for better pay and conditions affecting the public and private sectors are likely to continue, including in the key mining sector. New cost-reflective energy tariffs to draw investment into the energy sector are likely to be implemented in 2019 following the completion of a cost of service study in June 2018.

Last update: January 3, 2019

Terrorism

Moderate

No insurgent groups are active against the government. In the past several rebel groups from neighbouring countries, such as from former conflicts in Angola and the Democratic Republic of Congo, were known to have crossed into Zambian territory. In Zambia's Western province, secessionist sentiment poses a risk of sporadic civil unrest, including in the form of protests, riots, and violent confrontations with the security forces.

Last update: January 3, 2019

War Risks

Interstate war between Zambia and its neighbours is unlikely. There has been sporadic friction with the Democratic Republic of Congo (DRC), including over detentions of Zambian fishermen by Congolese forces around Lake Mweru. Despite recurring insecurity in neighbouring DRC which has caused refugee inflows into Zambia, the likelihood of an interstate war involving Zambia remains low. Insecurity and protests, such as by road cargo operators, including over alleged bribe-taking and incidents of harassment, have led to temporary blockades and closures at Kasumbalesa border post. In January 2018, the Sakania and Kasumbalesa border points in the Copperbelt Province were closed for some days to allow DRC’s long-delayed elections to be held.

Last update: May 23, 2019

Social Stability

High

Political violence with ethnic undertones, resulting in localised fighting between rival party supporters and confrontations with police, is an occasional problem, usually in the run-up to and immediate aftermath of elections. Friction between the government and main opposition since the 2016 elections continued into 2018, raising protest risks, including amid the April 2017 arrest of the UPND's leader and his November 2018 questioning by police for allegedly inciting anti-Chinese protests. Lusaka, the Copperbelt, and Southern province remain the hotspots for election-related unrest.

Last update: January 3, 2019

Health Risk

Severe

Vaccinations required to enter the country

Proof of vaccination against yellow fever is required for travelers over nine months of age arriving from a country with risk of yellow fever (YFV) transmission and for travelers who have been in transit for >12 hours in an airport located in a country with risk of YFV transmission.

Routine Vaccinations

Hepatitis A: A vaccine is available for anyone over one year of age. The vaccine may not be effective for certain people, e.g. those born before 1945 and who lived as a child in a developing country and/or have a past history of jaundice (icterus). These people can instead get a shot of immune globulin (IG) to boost their immunity against the disease.

Hepatitis B: A vaccine is available for children at least two months old.

Diphtheria-Tetanus-Polio: A booster shot should be administered if necessary (once every ten years).

Yellow Fever: A vaccine is available for children over the age of one year.

Other Vaccinations

Typhoid Fever: If your travels take you to regions with poor sanitary conditions (for children two years old and up).

Rabies: For prolonged stays in an isolated region (for children from when they can walk).

Malaria: Recommended preventive medication - mefloquine (sometimes marketed as Lariam), doxycycline (sometimes marketed as Vibramycin), or proguanil and atovaquone (sometimes marketed as Mepron).

For Children: All standard childhood immunizations should be up-to-date. In the case of a long stay, the BCG vaccine is recommended for children over one month and the MMR (measles-mumps-rubella) vaccine for children over nine months.

Last update: April 5, 2019

Practical Information

Climate

Zambia has a tropical climate and three seasons: from May until August temperatures are temperate (10°C to 25°C) and dry; from September to November conditions are hot (20°C to 30°C) and dry; from December to April, conditions are hot (25°C to 32°) and rainy.

Useful Numbers

Country Code: +260
Police: 991

Electricity

Voltage: 230 V ~ 50 Hz

Outlets:

Last update: April 5, 2019