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02 juin 2020 | 21h29 UTC

India: Cyclonic Storm Nisarga forecast to strengthen before making landfall over Maharashtra state June 3 /update 2

India Alerte de sécurité

Cyclonic storm Nisarga forecast to strengthen to severe cyclonic storm before making landfall south of Mumbai (Maharashtra state) June 3; strong winds and heavy rainfall forecast for western coastal areas in the coming days

TIMEFRAME expected from 2/6/2020, 12h00 until 7/6/2020, 11h59 (Asia/Kolkata). COUNTRY/REGION Maharashtra, Gujurat, Goa state, Karnataka state

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According to the latest bulletin issued by the Indian Meteorological Department (IMD) at 21:50 (local time) on Tuesday, June 2, the Cyclonic Storm Nisarga is forecast to strengthen into a severe cyclonic storm in the next 12 hours as it tracks north-north-eastwards along India's western coast towards Maharashtra state. A cyclone warning has been issued by the IMD for the north Maharashtra and south Gujarat coasts and disaster management teams have been deployed across the two states to begin evacuating people in low lying areas. At 20:30 the storm system was located over the East-central Arabian Sea and will also affect coastal areas of Goa, Karnataka, and southern Maharashtra over the next 12 hours. Current forecasts predict it will make landfall close to Alibag (Raigad district, Maharashtra state), south of Mumbai, on Wednesday afternoon, June 3. At the time of impact, Nisarga will carry winds of up to 110 kph (68 mph), gusting to 120 kph (75mph). In Maharashtra a storm surge of around 1 to 2 m (3 to 7 ft) is forecast to inundate low lying areas of Mumbai, Thane, and Raigad districts and 0.5 to 1 m (2 to 3 ft) in Ratnagiri district as the storm makes landfall. After making landfall, the storm system is forecast to move north-north-eastwards across north Maharashtra, carrying winds of up to 70 kph (43 mph) to Pune, Ahmednagar, Beed, Nashik, and Aurangabad districts.

The IMD has warned that some affected areas may witness damage to insecure infrastructure, crops, and power lines. Associated flooding, landslides, and disruptions to transport and power supply are expected in western coastal areas, particularly in Maharashtra, in the coming days.


Individuals in the affected areas are advised to monitor local weather reports, adhere to instructions issued by local authorities, anticipate continuing disruptions, and never drive through flooded streets. Floodwater may also contain wastewater and chemical products.


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