White Paper

Uganda & Tanzania Elections: Youth Movements, Digital Mobilisation & Potential for Disruptions

As East Africa braces for pivotal elections in Tanzania and Uganda, GardaWorld Security Africa’s Q3 Strategic Report 2025 – Democracy vs Discord – offers a timely and incisive analysis of the region’s evolving political landscape. This report explores the intersection of youth-led mobilisation, digital repression, and managed pluralism, highlighting the strategic risks and operational implications for businesses and stakeholders.

With Tanzania’s general elections scheduled for October 2025 and Uganda’s in January 2026, both countries face rising tensions marked by constrained civic space, securitised governance, and fragmented opposition movements. The report provides a comprehensive overview of pre-and post-election risks, significant incidents, and the broader regional patterns of unrest, drawing parallels with recent developments in Kenya, Madagascar, and Mozambique.

Read our full briefing:  Whether you're a policy analyst, investor, or regional operator, this report analyses youth-led grievances and mobilisation in the context of government digital repression, outlining the resulting strategic risks and operational implications for businesses and stakeholders.

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